Volatility Persists as Global Tensions Rise — Key Levels in Focus

The Nifty 50 remained volatile throughout the week but managed to close in positive territory, gaining nearly 1% despite ongoing global geopolitical uncertainties. The index ended in the green supported by stable domestic economic data and value buying by investors at lower levels. However geopolitical uncertainties remains as tension arises between Iran and US results in volatility in crude oil prices and adding inflationary pressure 

Global markets saw mixed signals this week. Oil prices edged higher due to rising tensions between Iran and the United States, raising concerns about potential supply disruptions. The Supreme Court of the United States struck down former President Donald Trump’s tariffs, though he proposed alternative measures and announced a 10% global tariff for 150 days. FIIs were net sellers, FII bought equities in two trading sessions and remained sellers in three trading sessions FII bought equities worth 2,149.55 and sold equities worth 2,787.23 in the week ended February 20  while India’s forex reserves hit a record $725.13 billion. Retail inflation rose to 2.75% but stayed below the Reserve Bank of India target.

Important Time Windows for the Week Ahead

(23rd February – 27th February)

Based on our ongoing time-cycle study, the following intraday windows may remain significant. These should be observed alongside price action, not anticipated blindly.

Monday – 23rd February
 09:15 AM | 10:40 AM | 01:35 PM

Tuesday – 24th February
 09:45 AM | 10:45 AM | 03 PM

Wednesday – 25th February
 10:00 AM | 01:35 PM | 02:30 PM

Thursday – 26th February
 09:15 AM | 10:35 AM | 11:40 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM

Friday – 27th February
 09:35 AM | 12:25 PM | 02:30 PM

These time clusters indicate potential volatility expansion, swing highs/lows, or momentum shifts.

Important Levels for the Week Ahead

For intraday and short-term decision-making, the following levels should be closely monitored:

Upside / Resistance Zone:
 25,720 | 25830 | 26,010 | 26,055 | 26,105 | 26,233 | 26,340

Downside / Support Zone:
 25565 | 25,434 | 25,380 | 25,320 | 25,173 | 25,145 | 25,085 | 25,035 | 25,000 | 24,856 | 24,806 | 24,688 | 24,647 |

Next Week Outlook

Markets continue to trade in a volatile yet structurally supported environment. Domestic macro indicators remain stable; however, global geopolitical tensions and trade-related uncertainties may continue to trigger sharp intraday swings. As per our  Research, 27 Feb may witness Good intraday momentum, with no major scheduled events expected next week.

Traders are advised to:

  • Focus on price confirmation near key support and resistance levels
  • Observe time clusters alongside price behavior for better trade alignment
  • Maintain strict risk management and predefined stop losses
  • Avoid overleveraging during volatile sessions

Disclaimer

Research by Team WealthView Analytics Pvt. Ltd.
 SEBI Registration No.: INH000009676


Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM do not guarantee performance or assure returns. This report is for educational purposes only. Market investments are subject to risk.

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