The Indian equity market extended its winning streak for the second consecutive week, with the Nifty50 advancing 1.5% for the week ended September 12, 2025.
Despite the positive momentum, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continued to pare holdings. As per NSDL data, FIIs sold equities worth Rs 11,169 crore in September up to the 12th. This took total FII outflows in 2025 to a substantial Rs 1,82,109 crore.
Rally validates time-based observation
In the previous outlook, September 10 was identified as a potential high-momentum date. The market validated this projection with a strong gap-up opening on September 10, which triggered a non-stop rally in the Nifty that carried forward through the week.
“This reinforces the significance of time-based observation in identifying market momentum,” said Harshubh Mahesh Shah.
Key time clusters for Sept 15–19, 2025
According to Shah, traders should keep an eye on the following time clusters, which often coincide with intraday reversals or momentum shifts:
- Monday, Sept 15: 11:15 AM – 1:15 PM
- Tuesday, Sept 16: 10:40 AM · 1:20 PM · 2:00 PM
- Wednesday, Sept 17: 10:15 AM · 12:30 PM · 1:30 PM
- Thursday, Sept 18: 9:30 AM · 11:45 AM · 1:50 PM · 2:35 PM
- Friday, Sept 19: 10:20 AM · 11:15 AM · 2:10 PM
Support and resistance levels
For the Nifty, support is placed at 25,080 · 25,035 · 24,980 · 24,850 · 24,806 · 24,670 · 24,540, while resistance is seen at 25,145 · 25,322 · 25,434 · 25,566.
Trading outlook
September 18 and 19 will be crucial sessions, with momentum moves expected.
Traders should brace for volatility around the highlighted time clusters, presenting opportunities on both the long and short side.
Shah advises maintaining strict discipline: “Risk management is key—avoid chasing gaps and trade around levels with discipline.”
