Global Turmoil Triggers Sharp Sell-Off — Nifty Records Worst Weekly Fall in Four Years

The Benchmark indices Nifty reported its worst week The Nifty 50 has declined over 5% this week this has turned out to be the worst week for the market in the last four years amid sharp rise in crude oil price, rupee is in all time low against the US dollar, constant selling by the FII, strong US Dollar, rising bond yields and ongoing tensions in the middle east between US-Israel and Iran 

India’s external sector also showed pressure during the week. The country’s foreign exchange reserves fell sharply by $11.68 billion to $716.81 billion for the week ended March 6. Meanwhile, FIIs remained aggressive sellers, having sold Indian equities worth about ₹56,883.22 crore since the start of the conflict in the Middle East . On the macroeconomic front, retail inflation in India rose to 3.21% in February from 2.74% in January, according to the revised Consumer Price Index (CPI) series, indicating a slight increase in price pressures.

The US-Israel and Iran War 

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East between the United States, Israel, and Iran shows no clear signs of ending, disrupting global energy supply around the world as Strait of Hormuz a key supply route remains closed due to the ongoing conflict, pushing crude oil price higher, adding inflationary pressure and creating volatility in the global financial market As the conflict continues, fears of a wider regional war remain high, with military strikes, cyberattacks, and geopolitical tensions increasing uncertainty in global markets

Time Analysis Performance: Week in Review

Even in a high-volatility environment, our time-cycle projections aligned closely with several key intraday turning points, reinforcing the importance of combining price structure with time analysis.

Monday – 9th March
Mentioned Time Windows:
09:45 AM | 10:40 AM | 11:35 AM | 02:30 PM

  • After a gap-down opening, the market reversed direction near the projected 9:45 AM window. Day low formed near 9 30 only
  • Around 10 40 , good momentum built up with swing high at 11 35 am aorund
  • Day high also formed near 2 45 pm

Tuesday – 10th March
Mentioned Time Windows:
09:15 AM | 10:00 AM | 12:00 PM | 01:30 PM | 03:00 PM

  • The market opened gap-up near the projected 9:15 AM time.
  • Day low formed near 10 AM 
  • Swing low again formed near 12 pm

Wednesday – 11th March
Mentioned Time Windows:
12:40 PM | 02:50 PM 

Selling Pressure stopped near 12 40 pm .

Thursday – 12th March
Mentioned Time Windows:
09:35 AM | 10:00 AM | 12:15 PM | 02:30 PM

  • Day low formed near 9:30 AM, close to the 9:35 AM projection.
  • Momentum Begun at 12 45 pm near to 12 15 window 

Friday – 13th March
Mentioned Time Windows:
11:20 AM | 01:30 PM

  • Sharp selling pressure emerged near the projected 11:20 AM window.
  • Day low formed near 1 30 pm only

Across the week, time projections continued to demonstrate relevance, particularly when used alongside price confirmation and structural levels.

Important Time Windows for the Week Ahead

(16th March – 20th March)

Based on our ongoing time-cycle study, the following intraday windows may remain significant. These should be observed alongside price action rather than anticipated blindly.

Monday – 16th March
09:35 AM | 11:00 AM | 12:15 PM | 01:10 PM | 02:30 PM

Tuesday – 17th March
09:30 AM | 11:10 AM | 01:25 PM | 01:30 PM

Wednesday – 18th March
09:25 AM | 10:30 AM

Thursday – 19th March
10:30 AM | 12:15 PM | 02:30 PM

Friday – 20th March
11:25 AM | 02:20 PM | 02:45 PM

These time clusters may align with volatility expansion, swing highs/lows, or momentum shifts.

Important Levels for the Week Ahead

For intraday and short-term decision-making, the following price zones should be closely monitored:

Upside / Resistance Zone

24,331 | 24,142 | 23,875 | 23,814 | 23,320

Downside / Support Zone

22,868 | 22,637 | 22,556 | 22,506 | 22,408 | 22,258 | 22,185 | 22,004

Market behavior near these price clusters, particularly when aligned with projected time windows, will be crucial in identifying market intent.

Outlook For Next Week :

From a time-cycle perspective, March 16–17 could bring strong intraday momentum, where traders may witness sharper moves and better trading opportunities during the session.

Towards the end of the week, around March 20, the market may approach an important time window where a positional reversal or trend shift could develop. Traders should closely observe price behavior near key levels during this period.

However, considering the ongoing geopolitical tensions and war-related developments globally, market reactions can remain unpredictable. Sudden news flows may lead to sharp volatility.

Hence, risk management remains the most important factor. Traders are advised to maintain disciplined position sizing and avoid overleveraging during volatile conditions.

Disclaimer

Research by Team WealthView Analytics Pvt. Ltd.
SEBI Registration No.: INH000009676

Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM do not guarantee performance or assure returns. This report is for educational purposes only. Market investments are subject to risk.

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