Watch August 21–22 for possible market trend shift: Harshubh Mahesh Shah

The Indian market finally broke its six-week losing streak and closed in the green, with the Nifty50 rising more than 1% for the week ended August 14.​

Last week, we had highlighted August 12 as a date to watch for a potential trend shift — and the market played out exactly in line. On that day, the index registered its weekly high, followed by a sharp downside move, making it a pivotal session for positional traders.​

Price Levels in Action

The precision of our highlighted levels was once again visible on the charts:
24,380 support worked effectively, with the week’s low forming at 24,348.
24,650 zone acted like a magnet on August 12, 13, and 14, with the price repeatedly hovering around it, confirming its significance for the week.​

Time Cluster Accuracy

The intraday time clusters also proved their worth, providing traders with high-probability turning points:​

  • Aug 11 (Mon): 9:20 AM day low, 2:50 PM day high — both matched perfectly.
  • Aug 12 (Tue): 11:00 AM swing low formed, though 1:30 PM saw no major reaction.
  • Aug 13 (Wed): 12:30 PM swing low, followed by strong upside momentum until 2:00 PM, near our projected 1:30 PM cluster.
  • Aug 14 (Thu): 10:20 AM day high aligned exactly with our given time.​

Once again, these timings demonstrated their precision for intraday traders seeking high-probability entries and exits.​

Key Nifty Levels Ahead

Traders should keep these zones in focus as decision points:​

  • Support: 24,538 / 24,480 / 24,443 / 24,380 / 24,331 / 24,142
  • Resistance: 24,670 / 24,808 / 24,850 / 24,978 / 25,083 / 25,322​

High-Probability Time Clusters (Aug 18–22)

  • Mon, Aug 18: 9:20 AM, 11:00 AM, 12:20 PM, 2:20 PM
  • Tue, Aug 19: 9:30 AM, 1:45 PM, 2:30 PM
  • Wed, Aug 20: 1:30 PM
  • Thu, Aug 21: 10:45 AM, 11:30 AM, 2:30 PM
  • Fri, Aug 22: 9:25 AM, 10:20 AM, 11:35 AM, 1:35 PM​

Trading Outlook: Aug 18–22

The coming week could witness heightened momentum, with August 21–22 standing out as highly important dates. Traders should be prepared for the possibility of a meaningful reversal or trend shift around this window.​

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